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China oil refining profits plunge 42% in 2019 as overcapacity grows

Profit margins in China’s crude oil refining sector plunged 42% in 2019 from a year earlier, the steepest fall in 5 years, warning that overcapacity is a growing problem.

Some small- and medium-sized refineries were also likely face financial pressure from a fall in sales and a rise in inventory amid the coronavirus outbreak, the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Federation (CPCIF) said, but the impact would be mainly felt in the first quarter.

“For the full year and longer term, overcapacity will still be the dominant issue in the industry,” CPCIF vice chairman Fu Xiangsheng said at a press briefing.

Increasing capacity in China and weak domestic demand, fueled in part by the Sino-U.S. trade war, led to a surge in refined product exports to the rest of Asia in 2019, helping to depress prices across the region.

China, the world’s top crude oil importer, boosted its annual crude oil refining capacity by 3.4% in 2019 to 860 million tonnes, equal to 17.2 million barrels per day.

It is is expected to add another 27 million tonnes, or about 3.1%, of refining capacity in 2020.

“We have growing concerns over the overcapacity issue,” Fu said. “With the launch of the integrated refining projects, production and sales rose but profits fell.”

China’s crude oil throughput rose 7.6% to a record 651.98 million tonnes in 2019, while gasoline exports surged by nearly a third.

Still, average utilization rates at Chinese refineries were at 76% in 2019, below the global level of 80%-85% and pointing to a capacity glut.

Profit margins in the petrochemical sector fell 13.9% in 2019 from a year ago, the biggest hit since 2008.

The total profit for China’s petroleum and chemical industry, which also includes fertilizers and other sectors, was 668.37 billion yuan ($95.9 billion) in 2019, down 14.9% from 2018 level, according to CPCIF.

Despite the increased integrated refining capacity, the industry body warned China still faced shortages of some high-end chemical materials such as synthetic resin and polycarbonate.

Meanwhile, banks are suspending credit lines for some Chinese independent oil refineries amid rising concerns about overall industrial defaults and as the virus outbreak eats into fuel sales.

The flu-like epidemic has killed 2,943 people and infected more than 80,000 in mainland China as of Monday. ($1 = 6.9708 Chinese yuan renminbi) (Reporting by Muyu Xu and Shivani Singh; editing by Richard Pullin)

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